Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.827100 0.924465 1.030568 1.155086 1.297596 1.456050 1.646188
2025-08-03 0.671905 0.804388 0.960895 1.160752 1.411073 1.716715 2.121951
2025-08-10 0.586682 0.735488 0.921168 1.172566 1.508194 1.946731 2.572902
2025-08-17 0.511413 0.664006 0.862565 1.143932 1.539014 2.084161 2.911373
2025-08-24 0.468877 0.627808 0.842422 1.159192 1.624817 2.300348 3.385458
2025-08-31 0.427443 0.587425 0.810378 1.151197 1.672528 2.463079 3.799380
2025-09-07 0.396858 0.558471 0.790286 1.156316 1.737424 2.656217 4.287087
2025-09-14 0.364587 0.523644 0.757560 1.137507 1.760819 2.783743 4.681431
2025-09-21 0.338231 0.495042 0.731058 1.124690 1.790739 2.923278 5.115755
2025-09-28 0.307448 0.457070 0.686636 1.078077 1.757912 2.949312 5.341831
2025-10-05 0.295852 0.447867 0.686385 1.103773 1.851342 3.209422 6.059870
2025-10-12 0.285104 0.439021 0.685688 1.128131 1.944358 3.479794 6.845383
2025-10-19 0.273127 0.427549 0.680144 1.144250 2.025669 3.742061 7.671723
2025-10-26 0.260204 0.413574 0.669273 1.149788 2.087726 3.975322 8.482241
2025-11-02 0.249490 0.402464 0.662285 1.161471 2.162626 4.244756 9.431483
2025-11-09 0.233430 0.381036 0.635492 1.133153 2.153410 4.332986 9.955925
2025-11-16 0.225264 0.372785 0.631534 1.148245 2.235316 4.632820 11.083465
2025-11-23 0.214469 0.359128 0.616669 1.140338 2.267189 4.823050 11.961648
2025-11-30 0.206284 0.349608 0.608696 1.145400 2.327616 5.088671 13.110699
2025-12-07 0.195655 0.334959 0.590037 1.126799 2.332876 5.221123 13.904086
2025-12-14 0.186544 0.322574 0.574855 1.114124 2.350234 5.386287 14.837017
2025-12-21 0.174104 0.303278 0.545100 1.068021 2.284487 5.329157 15.057941
2025-12-28 0.170720 0.300907 0.548326 1.093436 2.392306 5.745035 16.931213